Published paper in Statistics in Medicine with possible application for COVID-19 alert system

Janez Stare and Nina Ružić Gorenjec published a paper with Robin Henderson (Newcastle University) titled Random Cancers as Supported by Registry Data in the journal Statistics in Medicine. The paper introduces a methodology that examines an ordered sequence of estimates and determines the upper limit for which it is still feasible that all smaller estimates come from a distribution with a common mean. The method was motivated by a considerable interest in recent years in quantifying the rate of unavoidable or so-called random cancers (ie neither hereditary nor environmental). Another possible application is the establishment of an alert system for COVID-19 epidemic in Slovenia based on proportion of confirmed cases out of daily conducted tests, as the method sets an upper limit to values that are still feasible. Read more here, only available in Slovenian language.